GET/v1/ownership/probability-tableTier · Institutional

Get Probability Table

Probability of a trajectory completing, conditional on its state.

Returns P(filer reaches a higher stake threshold | current stake range, streak length, holding purpose), computed empirically from all historical trajectories in our dataset. Use it to answer "given that this filer is at X% with N consecutive increases, how often have similar trajectories pushed past Y%?"

Capture meta.as_of to pin a specific snapshot: replay with ?as_of=<token> returns the identical table later.

Request headers · 1

Authentication.

Authorizationstringrequired

Production API key. Pass it as Bearer ax_live_…

Returns · 200

The standard { data, meta } envelope. data contains ProbabilityTableOut.

Envelope

dataProbabilityTableOut

A single result object.

metaMeta

Pagination and request metadata, including request_id, data_as_of, and ontology_version.

ontology_version 2.1.0replay meta.as_of · ?as_of=<token>

ProbabilityTableOut

bucketsProbabilityBucketOut[]

Per-bucket conditional probabilities

total_trajectoriesinteger

Total trajectories used to compute table

model_versionstring

Model version identifier

default v1

Errors

Standard HTTP status codes plus a typed error.code in the { error: { code, message } } envelope.

Every endpoint returns the same typed error envelope ({ error: { code, message } }). For the full list of codes, see the Errors reference.

RequestcURL

curl "https://api.axiora.dev/v1/ownership/probability-table" \
  -H "Authorization: Bearer ax_live_…"

Response · 200

200 OK

{
  "data": {
    "buckets": [],
    "total_trajectories": 0,
    "model_version": "v1"
  },
  "meta": {
    "request_id": "req_abc123",
    "data_as_of": "2026-05-12T03:25:11Z",
    "ontology_version": "2.1.0",
    "as_of": "frz_01HRX9KQ2T8N7P4M"
  }
}

Response · 401

401 UNAUTHORIZED

{
  "error": {
    "code": "UNAUTHORIZED",
    "message": "Missing or invalid API key. Pass it as `Authorization: Bearer ax_live_…`."
  }
}